Concentrated Grapefruit Juice Market

The global market for concentrated grapefruit juice is expected to continue its downward consumption trend over the next eight-year period, with a forecasted contraction in both market volume and value. The article provides detailed insights into consumption, production, imports, and exports of concentrated grapefruit juice, highlighting key trends and growth rates in different countries. The data reveals fluctuations in market performance over the past decade, with notable differences in consumption and pricing among leading global players. Overall, the analysis offers a comprehensive overview of the factors impacting the global concentrated grapefruit juice market and sheds light on future opportunities and challenges for industry stakeholders.

Market Forecast

Depressed by shrinking demand for concentrated grapefruit juice worldwide, the market is expected to continue its downward consumption trend over the next eight-year period. The performance of the market is forecast to contract with an anticipated CAGR of -0.4% for the period from 2022 to 2030, which is projected to depress the market volume to 165K tons by the end of 2030.

In value terms, the market is forecast to contract with an anticipated CAGR of +1.8% for the period from 2022 to 2030, which is projected to bring the market value to $383M (in nominal prices) by the end of 2030.

Consumption

World Consumption of Concentrated Grapefruit Juice

In 2022, global concentrated grapefruit juice consumption stood at 170K tons, standing approx. at 2021 figures. In general, consumption, however, saw a perceptible slump. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2021 with an increase of 4.6% against the previous year. Over the period under review, global consumption reached the maximum volume at 241K tons in 2013; however, from 2014 to 2022, consumption failed to regain momentum.

The global concentrated grapefruit juice market value was estimated at $331M in 2022, stabilizing at the previous year. This figure reflects the total revenues of producers and importers (excluding logistics costs, retail marketing costs, and retailers' margins, which will be included in the final consumer price). Over the period under review, consumption, however, saw a noticeable setback. Over the period under review, the global market hit record highs at $413M in 2012; however, from 2013 to 2022, consumption stood at a somewhat lower figure.

Consumption By Country

The countries with the highest volumes of consumption in 2022 were the United States (33K tons), Israel (19K tons) and the Netherlands (14K tons), together accounting for 38% of global consumption. South Africa, Mexico, Japan, China, Cuba, Argentina, Germany, Pakistan, Romania and Bulgaria lagged somewhat behind, together accounting for a further 38%.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of consumption, amongst the leading consuming countries, was attained by Bulgaria (with a CAGR of +43.4%), while consumption for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

In value terms, the United States ($67M) led the market, alone. The second position in the ranking was taken by the Netherlands ($31M). It was followed by Japan.

In the United States, the concentrated grapefruit juice market expanded at an average annual rate of +4.6% over the period from 2012-2022. The remaining consuming countries recorded the following average annual rates of market growth: the Netherlands (+7.8% per year) and Japan (-7.0% per year).

In 2022, the highest levels of concentrated grapefruit juice per capita consumption was registered in Israel (1,984 kg per 1000 persons), followed by the Netherlands (786 kg per 1000 persons), Cuba (441 kg per 1000 persons) and Bulgaria (408 kg per 1000 persons), while the world average per capita consumption of concentrated grapefruit juice was estimated at 22 kg per 1000 persons.

From 2012 to 2022, the average annual growth rate of the concentrated grapefruit juice per capita consumption in Israel stood at -1.2%. In the other countries, the average annual rates were as follows: the Netherlands (+6.2% per year) and Cuba (-2.7% per year).

Production

World Production of Concentrated Grapefruit Juice

After four years of growth, production of concentrated grapefruit juice decreased by -0.3% to 170K tons in 2022. Overall, production continues to indicate a perceptible decline. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2021 with an increase of 1.2%. Global production peaked at 213K tons in 2012; however, from 2013 to 2022, production remained at a lower figure.

In value terms, concentrated grapefruit juice production stood at $305M in 2022 estimated in export price. Over the period under review, production showed a mild reduction. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2018 with an increase of 27%. Global production peaked at $348M in 2013; however, from 2014 to 2022, production remained at a lower figure.

Production By Country

The countries with the highest volumes of production in 2022 were the United States (34K tons), Israel (31K tons) and South Africa (24K tons), together comprising 53% of global production. The Netherlands, Mexico, Argentina, Cuba, Romania, China, Thailand and Pakistan lagged somewhat behind, together comprising a further 38%.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of production, amongst the main producing countries, was attained by Mexico (with a CAGR of +6.4%), while production for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Imports

World Imports of Concentrated Grapefruit Juice

For the fourth consecutive year, the global market recorded decline in supplies from abroad of concentrated grapefruit juice, which decreased by -7.3% to 65K tons in 2022. Overall, imports continue to indicate a deep downturn. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2018 with an increase of 3.5%. Over the period under review, global imports hit record highs at 148K tons in 2012; however, from 2013 to 2022, imports stood at a somewhat lower figure.

In value terms, concentrated grapefruit juice imports contracted to $152M in 2022. Over the period under review, imports recorded a abrupt curtailment. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2018 when imports increased by 34% against the previous year. Global imports peaked at $262M in 2012; however, from 2013 to 2022, imports remained at a lower figure.

Imports By Country

In 2022, Japan (11K tons), followed by the Netherlands (7K tons), China (5.2K tons), Germany (3.9K tons) and the United States (3.3K tons) represented the main importers of concentrated grapefruit juice, together mixing up 47% of total imports. Bulgaria (2.8K tons), South Korea (2.6K tons), Poland (2.4K tons), the UK (2.2K tons), Italy (2.2K tons), France (2.1K tons), Lao People's Democratic Republic (1.7K tons) and Russia (1.7K tons) followed a long way behind the leaders.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of purchases, amongst the key importing countries, was attained by the United States (with a CAGR of +38.1%), while imports for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

In value terms, the largest concentrated grapefruit juice importing markets worldwide were Japan ($32M), the Netherlands ($17M) and China ($14M), with a combined 42% share of global imports. Germany, South Korea, the United States, Italy, France, Russia, Poland, the UK, Bulgaria and Lao People's Democratic Republic lagged somewhat behind, together comprising a further 35%.

The United States, with a CAGR of +40.0%, saw the highest growth rate of the value of imports, in terms of the main importing countries over the period under review, while purchases for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Import Prices By Country

In 2022, the average concentrated grapefruit juice import price amounted to $2,345 per ton, remaining stable against the previous year. In general, import price indicated moderate growth from 2012 to 2022: its price increased at an average annual rate of +2.8% over the last decade. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2022 figures, concentrated grapefruit juice import price decreased by -7.1% against 2019 indices. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2018 an increase of 29% against the previous year. Global import price peaked at $2,525 per ton in 2019; however, from 2020 to 2022, import prices failed to regain momentum.

There were significant differences in the average prices amongst the major importing countries. In 2022, amid the top importers, the country with the highest price was South Korea ($3,726 per ton), while Lao People's Democratic Republic ($398 per ton) was amongst the lowest.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by the UK (+6.6%), while the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Exports

World Exports of Concentrated Grapefruit Juice

In 2022, global exports of concentrated grapefruit juice fell to 64K tons, dropping by -9.1% against the previous year's figure. Overall, exports showed a abrupt downturn. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2018 when exports increased by 8.7% against the previous year. Over the period under review, the global exports reached the maximum at 120K tons in 2012; however, from 2013 to 2022, the exports stood at a somewhat lower figure.

In value terms, concentrated grapefruit juice exports fell to $138M in 2022. In general, exports saw a pronounced slump. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2018 with an increase of 42%. As a result, the exports attained the peak of $229M. From 2019 to 2022, the growth of the global exports remained at a somewhat lower figure.

Exports By Country

The biggest shipments were from the Netherlands (16K tons), Israel (14K tons) and South Africa (13K tons), together resulting at 67% of total export. The United States (4.6K tons) held a 7.2% share (based on physical terms) of total exports, which put it in second place, followed by Mexico (5.2%). Thailand (2.9K tons), Romania (2.9K tons) and Argentina (1.8K tons) followed a long way behind the leaders.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of shipments, amongst the main exporting countries, was attained by Romania (with a CAGR of +61.8%), while the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

In value terms, the Netherlands ($32M), South Africa ($32M) and Israel ($31M) were the countries with the highest levels of exports in 2022, with a combined 69% share of global exports. The United States, Mexico, Argentina, Thailand and Romania lagged somewhat behind, together comprising a further 20%.

Romania, with a CAGR of +39.3%, saw the highest growth rate of the value of exports, in terms of the main exporting countries over the period under review, while shipments for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Export Prices By Country

The average concentrated grapefruit juice export price stood at $2,141 per ton in 2022, reducing by -4.3% against the previous year. Over the period from 2012 to 2022, it increased at an average annual rate of +1.7%. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2018 an increase of 31% against the previous year. Over the period under review, the average export prices reached the maximum at $2,358 per ton in 2019; however, from 2020 to 2022, the export prices failed to regain momentum.

Prices varied noticeably by country of origin: amid the top suppliers, the country with the highest price was Argentina ($2,918 per ton), while Romania ($499 per ton) was amongst the lowest.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by South Africa (+4.0%), while the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Source: IndexBox Market Intelligence Platform