Report Update: May 1, 2024

World - Crude Oil and Processed Petroleum - Market Analysis, Forecast, Size, Trends And Insights

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Crude Oil Forecast

Crude oil is one of the most important commodities in the world, with its price directly influencing the global economy. Forecasting the future price of crude oil involves analyzing various factors such as supply and demand dynamics, geopolitical events, weather conditions, and economic indicators.

There are several methods and approaches used by analysts and experts to forecast crude oil prices, including fundamental analysis, technical analysis, and econometric models. Each method has its advantages and limitations, and they are often used in combination to provide a more accurate forecast.

Fundamental Analysis

Fundamental analysis involves studying the underlying factors that drive the supply and demand of crude oil. This includes factors such as production levels, inventories, geopolitical tensions, disruptions in oil-producing regions, and economic growth rates.

Analysts consider the production levels of major oil-producing countries, such as Saudi Arabia, the United States, Russia, and others, as well as the demand from major consumers, such as the United States, China, and India. They also assess the political situation in oil-producing regions, as conflicts or sanctions can significantly impact supply.

Technical Analysis

Technical analysis involves studying historical price patterns and charts to identify trends and make predictions about future price movements. Analysts use various technical indicators such as moving averages, support and resistance levels, and momentum oscillators to forecast the direction and magnitude of price changes.

For example, if the price of crude oil has been consistently increasing over a certain period and is nearing a resistance level, technical analysts may predict a reversal or consolidation of prices. On the other hand, if the price is trending downwards and approaching a support level, they may anticipate a rebound.

Econometric Models

Econometric models use statistical and mathematical techniques to analyze historical data and identify relationships between crude oil prices and various independent variables such as economic indicators, weather conditions, and geopolitical events.

These models apply econometric techniques such as time series analysis, regression analysis, and correlation analysis to estimate the impact of these independent variables on crude oil prices. By considering the current values of these variables, analysts can predict future oil prices based on the estimated relationships.

Limitations and Challenges

Forecasting crude oil prices is a challenging task due to several limitations. First, the oil market is influenced by geopolitical events that are difficult to predict, such as conflicts in oil-producing regions or sudden changes in government policies. These events can have a significant impact on supply and demand dynamics.

Second, crude oil prices are also influenced by macroeconomic factors such as interest rates, inflation, and currency exchange rates. Changes in these factors can result in price fluctuations that are not easy to anticipate.

Conclusion

Forecasting crude oil prices involves a complex analysis of various factors, including fundamental drivers, technical patterns, and econometric models. While these methods provide valuable insights, it is important to note that no forecast is 100% accurate.

Traders, investors, and policymakers use these forecasts as a means to assess potential risks and make informed decisions. However, they should always be cautious and consider multiple sources of information before making any significant moves in the volatile crude oil market.

This report provides an in-depth analysis of the global market for crude oil and processed petroleum. Within it, you will discover the latest data on market trends and opportunities by country, consumption, production and price developments, as well as the global trade (imports and exports). The forecast exhibits the market prospects through 2030.

Product coverage:

Country coverage:

Worldwide - the report contains statistical data for 200 countries and includes detailed profiles of the 50 largest consuming countries:

+ the largest producing countries

Data coverage:

Global market volume and value
Per Capita consumption
Forecast of the market dynamics in the medium term
Global production, split by region and country
Global trade (exports and imports)
Export and import prices
Market trends, drivers and restraints
Key market players and their profiles

Reasons to buy this report:

Take advantage of the latest data
Find deeper insights into current market developments
Discover vital success factors affecting the market

This report is designed for manufacturers, distributors, importers, and wholesalers, as well as for investors, consultants and advisors.

In this report, you can find information that helps you to make informed decisions on the following issues:

How to diversify your business and benefit from new market opportunities
How to load your idle production capacity
How to boost your sales on overseas markets
How to increase your profit margins
How to make your supply chain more sustainable
How to reduce your production and supply chain costs
How to outsource production to other countries
How to prepare your business for global expansion

While doing this research, we combine the accumulated expertise of our analysts and the capabilities of artificial intelligence. The AI-based platform, developed by our data scientists, constitutes the key working tool for business analysts, empowering them to discover deep insights and ideas from the marketing data.

1. INTRODUCTION

Making Data-Driven Decisions to Grow Your Business
1. REPORT DESCRIPTION
2. RESEARCH METHODOLOGY AND AI PLATFORM
3. DATA-DRIVEN DECISIONS FOR YOUR BUSINESS
4. GLOSSARY AND SPECIFIC TERMS
2. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

A Quick Overview of Market Performance
1. KEY FINDINGS
2. MARKET TRENDS This Chapter is Available Only for the Professional Edition PRO
3. MARKET OVERVIEW

Understanding the Current State of The Market and Its Prospects
1. MARKET SIZE
2. CONSUMPTION BY COUNTRY
3. MARKET FORECAST TO 2030
4. MOST PROMISING PRODUCT

Finding New Products to Diversify Your Business
This Chapter is Available Only for the Professional Edition PRO
1. TOP PRODUCTS TO DIVERSIFY YOUR BUSINESS
2. BEST-SELLING PRODUCTS
3. MOST CONSUMED PRODUCT
4. MOST TRADED PRODUCT
5. MOST PROFITABLE PRODUCT FOR EXPORT
5. MOST PROMISING SUPPLYING COUNTRIES

Choosing the Best Countries to Establish Your Sustainable Supply Chain
This Chapter is Available Only for the Professional Edition PRO
1. TOP COUNTRIES TO SOURCE YOUR PRODUCT
2. TOP PRODUCING COUNTRIES
3. TOP EXPORTING COUNTRIES
4. LOW-COST EXPORTING COUNTRIES
6. MOST PROMISING OVERSEAS MARKETS

Choosing the Best Countries to Boost Your Exports
This Chapter is Available Only for the Professional Edition PRO
1. TOP OVERSEAS MARKETS FOR EXPORTING YOUR PRODUCT
2. TOP CONSUMING MARKETS
3. UNSATURATED MARKETS
4. TOP IMPORTING MARKETS
5. MOST PROFITABLE MARKETS
7. GLOBAL PRODUCTION

The Latest Trends and Insights into The Industry
1. PRODUCTION VOLUME AND VALUE
2. PRODUCTION BY COUNTRY
8. GLOBAL IMPORTS
The Largest Importers on The Market and How They Succeed
1. IMPORTS FROM 2012–2023
2. IMPORTS BY COUNTRY
3. IMPORT PRICES BY COUNTRY
9. GLOBAL EXPORTS
The Largest Exporters on The Market and How They Succeed
1. EXPORTS FROM 2012–2023
2. EXPORTS BY COUNTRY
3. EXPORT PRICES BY COUNTRY
10. PROFILES OF MAJOR PRODUCERS

The Largest Producers on The Market and Their Profiles
This Chapter is Available Only for the Professional Edition PRO
11. COUNTRY PROFILES

The Largest Markets And Their Profiles
This Chapter is Available Only for the Professional Edition PRO
- United States
- China
- Japan
- Germany
- United Kingdom
- France
- Brazil
- Italy
- Russian Federation
- India
- Canada
- Australia
- Republic of Korea
- Spain
- Mexico
- Indonesia
- Netherlands
- Turkey
- Saudi Arabia
- Switzerland
- Sweden
- Nigeria
- Poland
- Belgium
- Argentina
- Norway
- Austria
- Thailand
- United Arab Emirates
- Colombia
- Denmark
- South Africa
- Malaysia
- Israel
- Singapore
- Egypt
- Philippines
- Finland
- Chile
- Ireland
- Pakistan
- Greece
- Portugal
- Kazakhstan
- Algeria
- Czech Republic
- Qatar
- Peru
- Romania
- Vietnam
LIST OF TABLES
1. Key Findings In 2023
2. Market Volume, In Physical Terms, 2012–2023
3. Market Value, 2012–2023
4. Per Capita Consumption, By Country, 2018–2023
5. Production, In Physical Terms, By Country, 2012–2023
6. Imports, In Physical Terms, By Country, 2012–2023
7. Imports, In Value Terms, By Country, 2012–2023
8. Import Prices, By Country Of Destination, 2012–2023
9. Exports, In Physical Terms, By Country, 2012–2023
10. Exports, In Value Terms, By Country, 2012–2023
11. Export Prices, By Country Of Origin, 2012–2023
LIST OF FIGURES
1. Market Volume, In Physical Terms, 2012–2023
2. Market Value, 2012–2023
3. Consumption, By Country, 2023
4. Market Volume Forecast to 2030
5. Market Value Forecast to 2030
6. Products: Market Size And Growth, By Type
7. Products: Average Per Capita Consumption, By Type
8. Products: Exports And Growth, By Type
9. Products: Export Prices And Growth, By Type
10. Production Volume And Growth
11. Exports And Growth
12. Export Prices And Growth
13. Market Size And Growth
14. Per Capita Consumption
15. Imports And Growth
16. Import Prices
17. Production, In Physical Terms, 2012–2023
18. Production, In Value Terms, 2012–2023
19. Production, By Country, 2023
20. Production, In Physical Terms, By Country, 2012–2023
21. Imports, In Physical Terms, 2012–2023
22. Imports, In Value Terms, 2012–2023
23. Imports, In Physical Terms, By Country, 2023
24. Imports, In Physical Terms, By Country, 2012–2023
25. Imports, In Value Terms, By Country, 2012–2023
26. Import Prices, By Country, 2012–2023
27. Exports, In Physical Terms, 2012–2023
28. Exports, In Value Terms, 2012–2023
29. Exports, In Physical Terms, By Country, 2023
30. Exports, In Physical Terms, By Country, 2012–2023
31. Exports, In Value Terms, By Country, 2012–2023
32. Export Prices, 2012–2023