Green Peas Market

The article discusses the increasing demand for green peas worldwide, with projections indicating a continued upward trend in consumption. Market performance is forecasted to grow with a CAGR of +2.3% in volume and +3.6% in value from 2022 to 2030. Global consumption rose to 21M tons in 2022 and the market value surged to $29.9B. China, India, and Pakistan were the top consuming countries and China led in market value. Production and import/export trends are also analyzed, with noticeable fluctuations observed across the years.

Market Forecast

Driven by increasing demand for peas (green) worldwide, the market is expected to continue an upward consumption trend over the next eight years. Market performance is forecast to retain its current trend pattern, expanding with an anticipated CAGR of +2.3% for the period from 2022 to 2030, which is projected to bring the market volume to 25M tons by the end of 2030.

In value terms, the market is forecast to increase with an anticipated CAGR of +3.6% for the period from 2022 to 2030, which is projected to bring the market value to $39.8B (in nominal prices) by the end of 2030.

Consumption

World Consumption of Peas (Green)

Global green peas consumption rose to 21M tons in 2022, surging by 1.9% compared with 2021. The total consumption volume increased at an average annual rate of +2.1% over the period from 2012 to 2022; the trend pattern remained consistent, with somewhat noticeable fluctuations being observed throughout the analyzed period. Over the period under review, global consumption attained the peak volume in 2022 and is likely to continue growth in years to come.

The global green peas market size rose modestly to $29.9B in 2022, surging by 2.1% against the previous year. This figure reflects the total revenues of producers and importers (excluding logistics costs, retail marketing costs, and retailers' margins, which will be included in the final consumer price). The market value increased at an average annual rate of +1.0% over the period from 2012 to 2022; the trend pattern remained relatively stable, with somewhat noticeable fluctuations being observed throughout the analyzed period. Over the period under review, the global market attained the peak level at $32.9B in 2016; however, from 2017 to 2022, consumption failed to regain momentum.

Consumption By Country

The countries with the highest volumes of consumption in 2022 were China (12M tons), India (6.2M tons) and Pakistan (390K tons), together accounting for 86% of global consumption.

From 2012 to 2022, the biggest increases were recorded for Pakistan (with a CAGR of +13.7%), while consumption for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

In value terms, China ($20B) led the market, alone. The second position in the ranking was held by India ($3.9B).

In China, the green peas market remained relatively stable over the period from 2012-2022. The remaining consuming countries recorded the following average annual rates of market growth: India (+5.8% per year) and Pakistan (+14.7% per year).

The countries with the highest levels of green peas per capita consumption in 2022 were China (8.1 kg per person), India (4.4 kg per person) and Pakistan (1.7 kg per person).

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of consumption, amongst the main consuming countries, was attained by Pakistan (with a CAGR of +11.5%), while consumption for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Production

World Production of Peas (Green)

For the third year in a row, the global market recorded growth in production of peas (green), which increased by 1.9% to 21M tons in 2022. The total output volume increased at an average annual rate of +2.1% from 2012 to 2022; the trend pattern remained relatively stable, with only minor fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2015 with an increase of 11% against the previous year. Over the period under review, global production reached the maximum volume in 2022 and is expected to retain growth in the near future. The general positive trend in terms output was largely conditioned by a noticeable expansion of the harvested area and a relatively flat trend pattern in yield figures.

In value terms, green peas production amounted to $28.6B in 2022 estimated in export price. The total output value increased at an average annual rate of +1.3% from 2012 to 2022; the trend pattern indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2013 with an increase of 23% against the previous year. Over the period under review, global production attained the maximum level at $36.2B in 2016; however, from 2017 to 2022, production stood at a somewhat lower figure.

Production By Country

The countries with the highest volumes of production in 2022 were China (12M tons), India (6.2M tons) and Pakistan (388K tons), together accounting for 86% of global production.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of production, amongst the leading producing countries, was attained by Pakistan (with a CAGR of +13.9%), while production for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Yield

In 2022, the global average green peas yield amounted to 8 tons per ha, remaining stable against 2021. Overall, the yield recorded a relatively flat trend pattern. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2015 when the yield increased by 3.7%. Over the period under review, the average green peas yield reached the peak level in 2022 and is expected to retain growth in years to come.

Harvested Area

The global green peas harvested area totaled 2.6M ha in 2022, remaining stable against 2021. The harvested area increased at an average annual rate of +1.5% from 2012 to 2022; the trend pattern remained consistent, with somewhat noticeable fluctuations being observed throughout the analyzed period. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2015 when the harvested area increased by 7.4% against the previous year. Over the period under review, the harvested area dedicated to green peas production reached the peak figure in 2022 and is expected to retain growth in years to come.

Imports

World Imports of Peas (Green)

In 2022, overseas purchases of peas (green) decreased by -24.4% to 252K tons for the first time since 2019, thus ending a two-year rising trend. In general, imports showed a mild decrease. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2021 with an increase of 10% against the previous year. Over the period under review, global imports reached the peak figure at 340K tons in 2014; however, from 2015 to 2022, imports failed to regain momentum.

In value terms, green peas imports contracted to $439M in 2022. The total import value increased at an average annual rate of +1.2% over the period from 2012 to 2022; the trend pattern remained relatively stable, with only minor fluctuations in certain years. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2013 with an increase of 10%. Over the period under review, global imports hit record highs at $485M in 2021, and then contracted in the following year.

Imports By Country

In 2022, Belgium (91K tons) was the key importer of peas (green), committing 36% of total imports. The United States (37K tons) took a 15% share (based on physical terms) of total imports, which put it in second place, followed by the Netherlands (8.3%) and the UK (6.7%). Canada (11K tons), Germany (9.3K tons), Thailand (6.3K tons), Spain (5.1K tons) and France (4.9K tons) followed a long way behind the leaders.

Belgium experienced a relatively flat trend pattern with regard to volume of imports of peas (green). At the same time, Spain (+10.4%), Germany (+6.7%) and the UK (+5.1%) displayed positive paces of growth. Moreover, Spain emerged as the fastest-growing importer imported in the world, with a CAGR of +10.4% from 2012-2022. The United States experienced a relatively flat trend pattern. By contrast, Canada (-1.1%), Thailand (-5.3%), France (-6.3%) and the Netherlands (-7.8%) illustrated a downward trend over the same period. Belgium (+5.4 p.p.), the UK (+3.1 p.p.) and Germany (+2 p.p.) significantly strengthened its position in terms of the global imports, while the Netherlands saw its share reduced by -8.3% from 2012 to 2022, respectively. The shares of the other countries remained relatively stable throughout the analyzed period.

In value terms, the United States ($92M), the Netherlands ($62M) and Canada ($54M) constituted the countries with the highest levels of imports in 2022, together comprising 47% of global imports. The UK, Belgium, Germany, France, Spain and Thailand lagged somewhat behind, together accounting for a further 33%.

In terms of the main importing countries, Spain, with a CAGR of +21.7%, saw the highest growth rate of the value of imports, over the period under review, while purchases for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Import Prices By Country

In 2022, the average green peas import price amounted to $1,741 per ton, rising by 20% against the previous year. Over the last decade, it increased at an average annual rate of +2.5%. As a result, import price attained the peak level and is likely to continue growth in the immediate term.

Prices varied noticeably by country of destination: amid the top importers, the country with the highest price was Canada ($4,840 per ton), while Belgium ($459 per ton) was amongst the lowest.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by the Netherlands (+10.4%), while the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Exports

World Exports of Peas (Green)

Global green peas exports fell dramatically to 252K tons in 2022, with a decrease of -25.5% on 2021. Overall, exports recorded a pronounced downturn. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2017 when exports increased by 109% against the previous year. As a result, the exports attained the peak of 476K tons. From 2018 to 2022, the growth of the global exports remained at a somewhat lower figure.

In value terms, green peas exports dropped rapidly to $398M in 2022. The total export value increased at an average annual rate of +1.6% over the period from 2012 to 2022; however, the trend pattern indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2017 when exports increased by 21%. Over the period under review, the global exports hit record highs at $484M in 2021, and then fell remarkably in the following year.

Exports By Country

In 2022, France (59K tons), distantly followed by Guatemala (30K tons), the Netherlands (21K tons), Mexico (15K tons), the United States (13K tons) and China (13K tons) were the major exporters of peas (green), together achieving 59% of total exports. Poland (11K tons), Peru (11K tons), Slovakia (9.6K tons), Romania (9.3K tons), Germany (7.2K tons), Tanzania (7.1K tons) and Kenya (5.6K tons) held a little share of total exports.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of shipments, amongst the leading exporting countries, was attained by Slovakia (with a CAGR of +33.8%), while the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

In value terms, the largest green peas supplying countries worldwide were Guatemala ($71M), the Netherlands ($66M) and the United States ($60M), together comprising 50% of global exports. Peru, Mexico, France, China, Kenya, Germany, Slovakia, Poland, Romania and Tanzania lagged somewhat behind, together comprising a further 35%.

Slovakia, with a CAGR of +33.3%, saw the highest growth rate of the value of exports, among the main exporting countries over the period under review, while shipments for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Export Prices By Country

In 2022, the average green peas export price amounted to $1,575 per ton, surging by 10% against the previous year. Over the period under review, export price indicated a measured increase from 2012 to 2022: its price increased at an average annual rate of +4.0% over the last decade. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2022 figures, green peas export price increased by +79.2% against 2017 indices. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2019 an increase of 31% against the previous year. Over the period under review, the average export prices hit record highs in 2022 and is likely to see gradual growth in years to come.

Prices varied noticeably by country of origin: amid the top suppliers, the country with the highest price was the United States ($4,452 per ton), while Tanzania ($178 per ton) was amongst the lowest.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by Mexico (+7.3%), while the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Source: IndexBox Market Intelligence Platform