Non-Alcoholic Beverage, Not Containing Milk Market

The global market for non-alcoholic beverages, not containing milk is expected to show growth in consumption, production, imports, and exports from 2022 to 2030. The United States leads in both consumption and production, while the UK, Germany, and the United States are key importers. Switzerland, the Netherlands, and Germany are the top exporters. Trends in consumption, production, import prices, and export prices from 2012 to 2022 are analyzed, showing fluctuations in various years. Overall, the market is projected to see continued growth in value and volume.

Market Forecast

Driven by increasing demand for non-alcoholic beverages, not containing milk worldwide, the market is expected to continue an upward consumption trend over the next eight-year period. Market performance is forecast to decelerate, expanding with an anticipated CAGR of +2.4% for the period from 2022 to 2030, which is projected to bring the market volume to 329B litres by the end of 2030.

In value terms, the market is forecast to increase with an anticipated CAGR of +4.6% for the period from 2022 to 2030, which is projected to bring the market value to $383.8B (in nominal prices) by the end of 2030.

Consumption

World Consumption of Non-Alcoholic Beverages, Not Containing Milk

In 2022, global consumption of non-alcoholic beverages, not containing milk declined modestly to 272B litres, stabilizing at the previous year's figure. The total consumption volume increased at an average annual rate of +4.0% over the period from 2012 to 2022; however, the trend pattern indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Over the period under review, global consumption hit record highs at 275B litres in 2021, and then contracted in the following year.

The revenue of the market for non-alcoholic beverages, not containing milk worldwide reduced modestly to $268.5B in 2022, standing approx. at the previous year. This figure reflects the total revenues of producers and importers (excluding logistics costs, retail marketing costs, and retailers' margins, which will be included in the final consumer price). The market value increased at an average annual rate of +2.3% from 2012 to 2022; however, the trend pattern remained consistent, with somewhat noticeable fluctuations in certain years. Over the period under review, the global market hit record highs at $273B in 2018; however, from 2019 to 2022, consumption remained at a lower figure.

Consumption By Country

The United States (120B litres) constituted the country with the largest volume of non-alcoholic beverage, not containing milk consumption, accounting for 44% of total volume. Moreover, non-alcoholic beverage, not containing milk consumption in the United States exceeded the figures recorded by the second-largest consumer, China (27B litres), fourfold. India (11B litres) ranked third in terms of total consumption with a 4% share.

In the United States, non-alcoholic beverage, not containing milk consumption expanded at an average annual rate of +3.9% over the period from 2012-2022. In the other countries, the average annual rates were as follows: China (+5.7% per year) and India (+6.1% per year).

In value terms, the United States ($128.5B) led the market, alone. The second position in the ranking was taken by China ($19.6B). It was followed by India.

In the United States, the non-alcoholic beverage, not containing milk market expanded at an average annual rate of +1.5% over the period from 2012-2022. In the other countries, the average annual rates were as follows: China (+6.8% per year) and India (+9.0% per year).

In 2022, the highest levels of non-alcoholic beverage, not containing milk per capita consumption was registered in the United States (357 litres per person), followed by Japan (45 litres per person), Bangladesh (25 litres per person) and Nigeria (23 litres per person), while the world average per capita consumption of non-alcoholic beverage, not containing milk was estimated at 0.5 litres per person.

In the United States, non-alcoholic beverage, not containing milk per capita consumption increased at an average annual rate of +3.3% over the period from 2012-2022. In the other countries, the average annual rates were as follows: Japan (+1.7% per year) and Bangladesh (+5.8% per year).

Production

World Production of Non-Alcoholic Beverages, Not Containing Milk

In 2022, approx. 273B litres of non-alcoholic beverages, not containing milk were produced worldwide; stabilizing at the previous year. The total output volume increased at an average annual rate of +4.0% from 2012 to 2022; however, the trend pattern indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2014 when the production volume increased by 28%. Over the period under review, global production reached the peak volume at 277B litres in 2021, and then fell modestly in the following year.

In value terms, non-alcoholic beverage, not containing milk production reached $266.8B in 2022 estimated in export price. The total output value increased at an average annual rate of +1.9% over the period from 2012 to 2022; however, the trend pattern remained relatively stable, with only minor fluctuations being observed throughout the analyzed period. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2013 when the production volume increased by 12%. Over the period under review, global production hit record highs at $273.6B in 2019; however, from 2020 to 2022, production remained at a lower figure.

Production By Country

The United States (119B litres) constituted the country with the largest volume of non-alcoholic beverage, not containing milk production, accounting for 44% of total volume. Moreover, non-alcoholic beverage, not containing milk production in the United States exceeded the figures recorded by the second-largest producer, China (27B litres), fourfold. India (11B litres) ranked third in terms of total production with a 3.9% share.

From 2012 to 2022, the average annual growth rate of volume in the United States totaled +3.9%. The remaining producing countries recorded the following average annual rates of production growth: China (+5.6% per year) and India (+6.0% per year).

Imports

World Imports of Non-Alcoholic Beverages, Not Containing Milk

In 2022, after ten years of growth, there was decline in overseas purchases of non-alcoholic beverages, not containing milk, when their volume decreased by -1.3% to 11B litres. Over the period under review, total imports indicated a buoyant expansion from 2012 to 2022: its volume increased at an average annual rate of +5.3% over the last decade. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2022 figures, imports increased by +68.2% against 2012 indices. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2021 with an increase of 17% against the previous year. As a result, imports attained the peak of 11B litres, and then fell slightly in the following year.

In value terms, non-alcoholic beverage, not containing milk imports amounted to $12.3B in 2022. The total import value increased at an average annual rate of +5.0% over the period from 2012 to 2022; however, the trend pattern indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded in certain years. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2021 with an increase of 19% against the previous year. Global imports peaked in 2022 and are expected to retain growth in the near future.

Imports By Country

The purchases of the three major importers of non-alcoholic beverages, not containing milk, namely the UK, Germany and the United States, represented more than 0.0% of total import. The following importers - France (417M litres), China (332M litres), Canada (329M litres), Italy (289M litres), India (268M litres), the Netherlands (267M litres), Democratic Republic of the Congo (265M litres), Hong Kong SAR (262M litres), Singapore (229M litres) and Belgium (228M litres) - together made up 26% of total imports.

From 2012 to 2022, the biggest increases were recorded for Democratic Republic of the Congo (with a CAGR of +40.0%), while purchases for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

In value terms, the largest non-alcoholic beverage, not containing milk importing markets worldwide were the UK ($1.1B), the United States ($668M) and Germany ($660M), together comprising 20% of global imports. China, Canada, France, the Netherlands, Italy, Hong Kong SAR, India, Singapore, Belgium and Democratic Republic of the Congo lagged somewhat behind, together accounting for a further 26%.

Among the main importing countries, Democratic Republic of the Congo, with a CAGR of +34.1%, recorded the highest rates of growth with regard to the value of imports, over the period under review, while purchases for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Import Prices By Country

In 2022, the average import price for non-alcoholic beverages, not containing milk amounted to $1.1 per litre, surging by 1.7% against the previous year. In general, the import price, however, saw a relatively flat trend pattern. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2018 an increase of 5%. Global import price peaked at $1.1 per litre in 2012; afterwards, it flattened through to 2022.

Prices varied noticeably by country of destination: amid the top importers, the country with the highest price was China ($1.9 per litre), while Democratic Republic of the Congo ($0.5 per litre) was amongst the lowest.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by China (+8.2%), while the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Exports

World Exports of Non-Alcoholic Beverages, Not Containing Milk

In 2022, after ten years of growth, there was decline in shipments abroad of non-alcoholic beverages, not containing milk, when their volume decreased by -4.6% to 13B litres. Over the period under review, total exports indicated a buoyant increase from 2012 to 2022: its volume increased at an average annual rate of +5.3% over the last decade. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2014 with an increase of 16% against the previous year. Over the period under review, the global exports attained the maximum at 13B litres in 2021, and then fell slightly in the following year.

In value terms, non-alcoholic beverage, not containing milk exports contracted modestly to $13.9B in 2022. The total export value increased at an average annual rate of +4.5% over the period from 2012 to 2022; however, the trend pattern indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2021 when exports increased by 14% against the previous year. As a result, the exports attained the peak of $14.4B, and then declined in the following year.

Exports By Country

Germany (963M litres), the Netherlands (931M litres), Thailand (870M litres), Switzerland (846M litres), Italy (608M litres), Austria (595M litres), Belgium (515M litres), Mexico (475M litres), the United States (433M litres), Spain (411M litres), Poland (383M litres) and South Korea (377M litres) represented roughly 59% of total exports in 2022. France (369M litres) followed a long way behind the leaders.

From 2012 to 2022, the biggest increases were recorded for Mexico (with a CAGR of +23.2%), while shipments for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

In value terms, Switzerland ($1.8B), the Netherlands ($1.5B) and Germany ($1.4B) appeared to be the countries with the highest levels of exports in 2022, together accounting for 34% of global exports. The United States, Thailand, Austria, Italy, South Korea, Belgium, France, Spain, Mexico and Poland lagged somewhat behind, together accounting for a further 35%.

In terms of the main exporting countries, Mexico, with a CAGR of +21.0%, recorded the highest rates of growth with regard to the value of exports, over the period under review, while shipments for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Export Prices By Country

The average export price for non-alcoholic beverages, not containing milk stood at $1.1 per litre in 2022, approximately mirroring the previous year. Over the period under review, the export price, however, continues to indicate a relatively flat trend pattern. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2021 when the average export price increased by 11%. The global export price peaked at $1.2 per litre in 2013; however, from 2014 to 2022, the export prices remained at a lower figure.

Prices varied noticeably by country of origin: amid the top suppliers, the country with the highest price was Switzerland ($2.1 per litre), while Mexico ($0.6 per litre) was amongst the lowest.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by the United States (+2.6%), while the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Source: IndexBox Market Intelligence Platform