Decaffeinated Coffee Market

The article projects a positive growth trend in the global decaffeinated coffee market, with consumption forecasted to increase by +2.6% CAGR and market value to rise by +4.2% CAGR from 2022 to 2030. It provides detailed data on market performance, trends, key consuming and producing countries, types of decaffeinated coffee, import and export statistics, and future growth predictions. The analysis covers insights on consumption patterns, market size, production volumes, price trends, and important market players in the decaffeinated coffee industry.

Market Forecast

Driven by increasing demand for decaffeinated coffee worldwide, the market is expected to continue an upward consumption trend over the next eight years. Market performance is forecast to decelerate, expanding with an anticipated CAGR of +2.6% for the period from 2022 to 2030, which is projected to bring the market volume to 2.9M tons by the end of 2030.

In value terms, the market is forecast to increase with an anticipated CAGR of +4.2% for the period from 2022 to 2030, which is projected to bring the market value to $18.7B (in nominal prices) by the end of 2030.

Consumption

World Consumption of Decaffeinated Coffee

In 2022, after seven years of growth, there was significant decline in consumption of decaffeinated coffee, when its volume decreased by -7.3% to 2.4M tons. In general, the total consumption indicated a tangible increase from 2012 to 2022: its volume increased at an average annual rate of +3.6% over the last decade. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2022 figures, consumption increased by +56.8% against 2014 indices. Over the period under review, global consumption attained the maximum volume at 2.5M tons in 2021, and then declined in the following year.

The global decaffeinated coffee market size dropped to $13.4B in 2022, shrinking by -2.6% against the previous year. This figure reflects the total revenues of producers and importers (excluding logistics costs, retail marketing costs, and retailers' margins, which will be included in the final consumer price). Over the period under review, the total consumption indicated a tangible expansion from 2012 to 2022: its value increased at an average annual rate of +3.3% over the last decade. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2022 figures, consumption increased by +59.4% against 2014 indices. As a result, consumption attained the peak level of $13.8B, and then contracted modestly in the following year.

Consumption By Country

The countries with the highest volumes of consumption in 2022 were India (245K tons), the United States (164K tons) and Nigeria (134K tons), with a combined 23% share of global consumption.

From 2012 to 2022, the biggest increases were recorded for Nigeria (with a CAGR of +17.2%), while consumption for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

In value terms, the largest decaffeinated coffee markets worldwide were India ($1.3B), the United States ($948M) and Russia ($818M), together accounting for 23% of the global market. Brazil, Nigeria, Indonesia, Ethiopia, Mexico, Italy, Spain, Saudi Arabia, Germany and Democratic Republic of the Congo lagged somewhat behind, together accounting for a further 27%.

In terms of the main consuming countries, Saudi Arabia, with a CAGR of +17.5%, saw the highest growth rate of market size over the period under review, while market for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

The countries with the highest levels of decaffeinated coffee per capita consumption in 2022 were Saudi Arabia (1,472 kg per 1000 persons), Germany (1,172 kg per 1000 persons) and Spain (1,090 kg per 1000 persons).

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of consumption, amongst the key consuming countries, was attained by Nigeria (with a CAGR of +14.2%), while consumption for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Consumption By Type

Unroasted decaffeinated coffee (2M tons) constituted the product with the largest volume of consumption, accounting for 86% of total volume. Moreover, unroasted decaffeinated coffee exceeded the figures recorded for the second-largest type, roasted decaffeinated coffee (329K tons), sixfold.

From 2012 to 2022, the average annual rate of growth in terms of the volume of unroasted decaffeinated coffee consumption amounted to +4.0%.

In value terms, unroasted decaffeinated coffee ($10.7B) led the market, alone. The second position in the ranking was taken by roasted decaffeinated coffee ($2.7B).

From 2012 to 2022, the average annual growth rate of the value of unroasted decaffeinated coffee market stood at +3.9%.

Production

World Production of Decaffeinated Coffee

In 2022, production of decaffeinated coffee decreased by -6.8% to 2.4M tons for the first time since 2014, thus ending a seven-year rising trend. In general, the total production indicated a measured expansion from 2012 to 2022: its volume increased at an average annual rate of +3.5% over the last decade. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2022 figures, production increased by +54.6% against 2014 indices. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2016 with an increase of 13%. Over the period under review, global production hit record highs at 2.6M tons in 2021, and then declined in the following year.

In value terms, decaffeinated coffee production shrank to $12.7B in 2022 estimated in export price. Overall, the total production indicated moderate growth from 2012 to 2022: its value increased at an average annual rate of +3.1% over the last decade. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2022 figures, production increased by +63.2% against 2014 indices. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2015 when the production volume increased by 15% against the previous year. Global production peaked at $13.6B in 2021, and then reduced in the following year.

Production By Country

The countries with the highest volumes of production in 2022 were India (245K tons), Germany (228K tons) and Nigeria (134K tons), with a combined 25% share of global production. Russia, Indonesia, Brazil, Mexico, Ethiopia, the United States, Democratic Republic of the Congo, Canada, Saudi Arabia and Vietnam lagged somewhat behind, together comprising a further 33%.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of production, amongst the key producing countries, was attained by Saudi Arabia (with a CAGR of +19.4%), while production for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Production By Type

Unroasted decaffeinated coffee (2.1M tons) constituted the product with the largest volume of production, accounting for 87% of total volume. Moreover, unroasted decaffeinated coffee exceeded the figures recorded for the second-largest type, roasted decaffeinated coffee (324K tons), sixfold.

From 2012 to 2022, the average annual growth rate of the volume of unroasted decaffeinated coffee production amounted to +3.7%.

In value terms, unroasted decaffeinated coffee ($10B) led the market, alone. The second position in the ranking was held by roasted decaffeinated coffee ($2.7B).

From 2012 to 2022, the average annual growth rate of the value of unroasted decaffeinated coffee production totaled +3.6%.

Imports

World Imports of Decaffeinated Coffee

Global decaffeinated coffee imports dropped slightly to 239K tons in 2022, waning by -4.7% compared with 2021 figures. In general, imports, however, showed a relatively flat trend pattern. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2019 with an increase of 6.6% against the previous year. As a result, imports attained the peak of 270K tons. From 2020 to 2022, the growth of global imports remained at a somewhat lower figure.

In value terms, decaffeinated coffee imports rose rapidly to $1.7B in 2022. The total import value increased at an average annual rate of +2.0% from 2012 to 2022; the trend pattern remained consistent, with somewhat noticeable fluctuations being recorded in certain years. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2017 with an increase of 16%. Over the period under review, global imports reached the peak figure in 2022 and are likely to see gradual growth in the near future.

Imports By Country

The United States represented the key importing country with an import of around 98K tons, which amounted to 41% of total imports. It was distantly followed by Spain (30K tons), France (13K tons), the UK (12K tons), Switzerland (12K tons) and the Netherlands (12K tons), together generating a 33% share of total imports. Canada (6.7K tons), Italy (5K tons), South Korea (4.6K tons), Japan (3.9K tons) and Belgium (3.7K tons) followed a long way behind the leaders.

From 2012 to 2022, average annual rates of growth with regard to decaffeinated coffee imports into the United States stood at -1.3%. At the same time, South Korea (+20.7%), the Netherlands (+11.8%), Japan (+11.3%), the UK (+10.1%), Spain (+7.7%) and Switzerland (+1.2%) displayed positive paces of growth. Moreover, South Korea emerged as the fastest-growing importer imported in the world, with a CAGR of +20.7% from 2012-2022. Canada and France experienced a relatively flat trend pattern. By contrast, Belgium (-9.3%) and Italy (-9.9%) illustrated a downward trend over the same period. While the share of Spain (+6.2 p.p.), the Netherlands (+3.2 p.p.), the UK (+3.1 p.p.) and South Korea (+1.6 p.p.) increased significantly in terms of the global imports from 2012-2022, the share of Belgium (-2.8 p.p.), Italy (-4.2 p.p.) and the United States (-9.1 p.p.) displayed negative dynamics. The shares of the other countries remained relatively stable throughout the analyzed period.

In value terms, the United States ($616M) constitutes the largest market for imported decaffeinated coffee worldwide, comprising 36% of global imports. The second position in the ranking was taken by France ($165M), with a 9.8% share of global imports. It was followed by Spain, with an 8.9% share.

In the United States, decaffeinated coffee imports remained relatively stable over the period from 2012-2022. The remaining importing countries recorded the following average annual rates of imports growth: France (+1.6% per year) and Spain (+9.7% per year).

Imports By Type

Unroasted decaffeinated coffee was the key imported product with an import of around 183K tons, which resulted at 77% of total imports. It was distantly followed by roasted decaffeinated coffee (56K tons), creating a 23% share of total imports.

Unroasted decaffeinated coffee experienced a relatively flat trend pattern with regard to volume of imports. At the same time, roasted decaffeinated coffee (+1.5%) displayed positive paces of growth. Moreover, roasted decaffeinated coffee emerged as the fastest-growing type imported in the world, with a CAGR of +1.5% from 2012-2022. While the share of roasted decaffeinated coffee (+2 p.p.) increased significantly in terms of the global imports from 2012-2022, the share of unroasted decaffeinated coffee (-2 p.p.) displayed negative dynamics.

In value terms, the largest types of imported decaffeinated coffee were unroasted decaffeinated coffee ($950M) and roasted decaffeinated coffee ($740M).

Roasted decaffeinated coffee, with a CAGR of +3.2%, recorded the highest rates of growth with regard to the value of imports, among the main imported products over the period under review.

Import Prices By Type

In 2022, the average decaffeinated coffee import price amounted to $7,075 per ton, increasing by 17% against the previous year. Over the period from 2012 to 2022, it increased at an average annual rate of +1.4%. As a result, import price attained the peak level and is likely to continue growth in the immediate term.

There were significant differences in the average prices amongst the major imported products. In 2022, the product with the highest price was roasted decaffeinated coffee ($13,266 per ton), while the price for unroasted decaffeinated coffee totaled $5,199 per ton.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by roasted decaffeinated coffee (+1.7%).

Import Prices By Country

In 2022, the average decaffeinated coffee import price amounted to $7,075 per ton, with an increase of 17% against the previous year. Over the period from 2012 to 2022, it increased at an average annual rate of +1.4%. As a result, import price attained the peak level and is likely to continue growth in the immediate term.

There were significant differences in the average prices amongst the major importing countries. In 2022, amid the top importers, the country with the highest price was France ($12,819 per ton), while Spain ($5,035 per ton) was amongst the lowest.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by Belgium (+5.0%), while the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Exports

World Exports of Decaffeinated Coffee

In 2022, overseas shipments of decaffeinated coffee decreased by -0.9% to 295K tons, falling for the fourth consecutive year after two years of growth. In general, exports, however, saw a relatively flat trend pattern. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2013 when exports increased by 7.7% against the previous year. As a result, the exports attained the peak of 315K tons. From 2014 to 2022, the growth of the global exports remained at a lower figure.

In value terms, decaffeinated coffee exports skyrocketed to $2B in 2022. The total export value increased at an average annual rate of +1.5% over the period from 2012 to 2022; the trend pattern remained consistent, with only minor fluctuations in certain years. As a result, the exports attained the peak and are likely to continue growth in the immediate term.

Exports By Country

Germany represented the key exporter of decaffeinated coffee in the world, with the volume of exports resulting at 134K tons, which was near 45% of total exports in 2022. It was distantly followed by Vietnam (31K tons), Canada (29K tons) and Spain (19K tons), together making up a 27% share of total exports. The following exporters - Mexico (12K tons), the United States (9K tons), Italy (8K tons), Switzerland (7.1K tons), Honduras (5.4K tons) and Colombia (5.1K tons) - together made up 16% of total exports.

From 2012 to 2022, average annual rates of growth with regard to decaffeinated coffee exports from Germany stood at -2.4%. At the same time, Vietnam (+13.6%), Canada (+8.6%), Italy (+6.3%), Honduras (+4.3%), Switzerland (+4.1%), Spain (+3.1%), the United States (+2.7%) and Colombia (+2.3%) displayed positive paces of growth. Moreover, Vietnam emerged as the fastest-growing exporter exported in the world, with a CAGR of +13.6% from 2012-2022. By contrast, Mexico (-4.7%) illustrated a downward trend over the same period. Vietnam (+7.5 p.p.), Canada (+5.5 p.p.) and Spain (+1.7 p.p.) significantly strengthened its position in terms of the global exports, while Mexico and Germany saw its share reduced by -2.6% and -13.2% from 2012 to 2022, respectively. The shares of the other countries remained relatively stable throughout the analyzed period.

In value terms, Germany ($657M) remains the largest decaffeinated coffee supplier worldwide, comprising 34% of global exports. The second position in the ranking was taken by Switzerland ($239M), with a 12% share of global exports. It was followed by Canada, with an 11% share.

In Germany, decaffeinated coffee exports contracted by an average annual rate of -1.2% over the period from 2012-2022. In the other countries, the average annual rates were as follows: Switzerland (+2.0% per year) and Canada (+8.1% per year).

Exports By Type

In 2022, unroasted decaffeinated coffee (244K tons) was the major type of decaffeinated coffee, constituting 83% of total exports. It was distantly followed by roasted decaffeinated coffee (52K tons), constituting a 17% share of total exports.

Unroasted decaffeinated coffee experienced a relatively flat trend pattern with regard to volume of exports. At the same time, roasted decaffeinated coffee (+1.7%) displayed positive paces of growth. Moreover, roasted decaffeinated coffee emerged as the fastest-growing type exported in the world, with a CAGR of +1.7% from 2012-2022. From 2012 to 2022, the share of roasted decaffeinated coffee increased by +2.6 percentage points.

In value terms, the largest types of exported decaffeinated coffee were unroasted decaffeinated coffee ($1.2B) and roasted decaffeinated coffee ($739M).

Among the main exported products, roasted decaffeinated coffee, with a CAGR of +2.7%, saw the highest rates of growth with regard to the value of exports, over the period under review.

Export Prices By Type

The average decaffeinated coffee export price stood at $6,600 per ton in 2022, surging by 17% against the previous year. Over the last decade, it increased at an average annual rate of +1.4%. As a result, the export price reached the peak level and is likely to continue growth in the immediate term.

There were significant differences in the average prices amongst the major exported products. In 2022, the product with the highest price was roasted decaffeinated coffee ($14,336 per ton), while the average price for exports of unroasted decaffeinated coffee stood at $4,965 per ton.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by unroasted decaffeinated coffee (+1.0%).

Export Prices By Country

The average decaffeinated coffee export price stood at $6,600 per ton in 2022, picking up by 17% against the previous year. Over the last decade, it increased at an average annual rate of +1.4%. As a result, the export price attained the peak level and is likely to continue growth in the immediate term.

Prices varied noticeably by country of origin: amid the top suppliers, the country with the highest price was Switzerland ($33,891 per ton), while Vietnam ($3,141 per ton) was amongst the lowest.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by Colombia (+2.1%), while the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Source: IndexBox Market Intelligence Platform